Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guadalajara (Mexico) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	04:15	CANAL+ Sport 2
United Kingdom	03:15	Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+


	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano		Hailey Baptiste

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.88
	1.45	2.84	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.42	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)	2.83 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
66.4%

Hailey Baptiste
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's performance.

Hailey Baptiste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hailey Baptiste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Camila Osorio Serrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hailey Baptiste than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hailey Baptiste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Hailey Baptiste Predictions

Users Predictions: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 80. Baptiste is ranked WTA: 102.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Osorio Serrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osorio Serrano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Osorio Serrano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA US Open
27.08.24	Mirra Andreeva - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
21.08.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
19.08.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:0 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
30.07.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Danielle Collins	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW
- Hailey Baptiste
WTA US Open
22.08.24	Hailey Baptiste - Maya Joint	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Hailey Baptiste - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Hailey Baptiste - Tyra Caterina Grant	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.24	Magdalena Frech - Hailey Baptiste	Baptiste H. retired ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Hailey Baptiste	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWW??

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guadalajara
24.02.22	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Hailey Baptiste	2:1
WTA Australian Open
12.01.21	Hailey Baptiste - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Hailey Baptiste