Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday


	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.65	1.48	Watch
	2.64	1.47
	2.60	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44
			Watch
	2.84	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.84)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
35%

Jelena Ostapenko
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 56. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 30.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ostapenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ostapenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osorio Serrano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Dayana Yastremska - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Bernarda Pera - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Washington
19.07.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Taylor Townsend	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Danielle Collins	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Renata Zarazua - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.25	Alexandra Eala - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
24.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWL?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide