Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Sonay Kartal		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.46	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.56
			Watch
	2	1.8
	2.51	1.54	Watch
	2.46	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.53)	1.61 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
40.6%

Jelena Ostapenko
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Kartal will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Ostapenko will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3 Games - Kartal (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Kartal (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ostapenko (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kartal is ranked WTA: 49. Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 20.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kartal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ostapenko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kartal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jelena Ostapenko - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
WTA Eastbourne
24.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Nottingham
19.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Katie Boulter	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Leolia Jeanjean	2:0 ✺
WTA London
11.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Amanda Anisimova	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Darya Kasatkina - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.25	Alexandra Eala - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. retired ✺
24.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
30.05.25	Elena Rybakina - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Caroline Dolehide - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Polina Kudermetova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
24.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide