Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuhan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:00	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	11:00	TV2 Play
Finland	12:00	DAZN
France	11:00	beIN Sports 3
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	12:00	Nova Sports 6
Poland	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Serbia	11:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	11:00	Voyo
Sweden	11:00	DAZN
Ukraine	12:00	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	10:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Sonay Kartal		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.75	2.10
	1.75	2.10
	1.7	2.21	Watch
	1.87	1.94
	1.76	2.11	Watch
	1.70	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)	2.09 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sonay Kartal
54.4%

Jelena Ostapenko
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jelena Ostapenko will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kartal is ranked WTA: 170., and Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 34..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kartal has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Sonay Kartal - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sonay Kartal
WTA Wuhan
16.10.26	Elina Svitolina - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
15.10.26	Jasmine Paolini - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Sonay Kartal - Belinda Bencic	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Anhelina Kalinina - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Alina Charaeva - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWL
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Wuhan
15.10.26	Diana Shnaider - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
05.10.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Elise Mertens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
30.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1
WTA Eastbourne
24.06.25	Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2

Sonay Kartal - Jelena Ostapenko