Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Trieste, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Maria Florencia Urrutia		Adrienn Nagy

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.65	2.05
	1.57	2.29
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	2.15 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Florencia Urrutia
56.9%

Adrienn Nagy
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Florencia Urrutia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Adrienn Nagy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Florencia Urrutia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrienn Nagy than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Maria Florencia Urrutia - Adrienn Nagy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urrutia is ranked WTA: 541. Nagy is ranked WTA: 613.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Nagy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Florencia Urrutia
ITF Tournaments
05.08.25	Victoria Kan - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Dana Guzman - Maria Florencia Urrutia	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Carla Markus	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWW
- Adrienn Nagy
ITF Tournaments
20.08.25	Adrienn Nagy - Gaia Maduzzi	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Adrienn Nagy - Amelia Paszun	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Weronika Ewald - Adrienn Nagy	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Merel Hoedt - Adrienn Nagy	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Julia Grabher - Adrienn Nagy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL

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