Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Pergamino, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Maria Florencia Urrutia		Antonia Vergara Rivera

	1	2
	1.28	3.2
	1.35	2.9
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.94	Watch
	1.36	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	2.98 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Florencia Urrutia
68.9%

Antonia Vergara Rivera
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Florencia Urrutia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Florencia Urrutia's performance.

Antonia Vergara Rivera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antonia Vergara Rivera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Florencia Urrutia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Florencia Urrutia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antonia Vergara Rivera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Florencia Urrutia - Antonia Vergara Rivera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urrutia is ranked WTA: 586. Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 678.

Urrutia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vergara Rivera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urrutia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Urrutia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Florencia Urrutia
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Lara Julieta Estable	Estable L. J. retired ✺
18.07.25	Xiaodi You - Maria Florencia Urrutia	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Ana Candiotto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WL?WW
- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ITF Tournaments
17.07.25	Xiaodi You - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Pietra Rivoli	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Ann Akasha Ceuca	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Tamila Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Draginja Vukovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

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