Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 4, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Maria Kalyakina		Alina Tikhonova

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
	2.38	1.50
	2.78	1.45
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.62	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.22)	1.46 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
36.3%

Alina Tikhonova
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Alina Tikhonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Tikhonova than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Tikhonova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 629. Tikhonova is ranked WTA: 873.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Tikhonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tikhonova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tikhonova will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kalyakina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Yingqun Sun - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Ma RuoXi - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Anastasiia Gureva - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Chengyiyi Yuan	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Meiling Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW
- Alina Tikhonova
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Shihomi Li Xuan Leong - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Alina Tikhonova - On Yu Choi	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Yuhan Wang - Alina Tikhonova	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alina Tikhonova - Jiayi Wang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova	1:2

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