Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 5, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Maria Kalyakina		Jiayi Wang

	1	2
	2.60	1.42
	2.60	1.43
	2.87	1.43
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.8	1.41
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.96)	1.42 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
34.4%

Jiayi Wang
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Kalyakina's form might have worsened.

Jiayi Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiayi Wang's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiayi Wang than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiayi Wang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maria Kalyakina - Jiayi Wang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 615. Wang is ranked WTA: 518.

Kalyakina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Wang is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wang will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Wang will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Alexandra Malova - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Riko Kikawada - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Jiho Shin - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Maria Kalyakina - Alina Tikhonova	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Yingqun Sun - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW
- Jiayi Wang
ITF Tournaments
17.07.26	Junhan Zhang - Jiayi Wang	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Xiaowei Li - Jiayi Wang	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Xinyi Nong - Jiayi Wang	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Jiayi Wang - Shihomi Li Xuan Leong	Wang J. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Jiayi Wang - Ha Eum Lee	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?W

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