Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Luan 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Maria Kalyakina		Yuyao Li

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.76	1.99
	3.84	1.21	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.59	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.55)	1.85 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Kalyakina
46.3%

Yuyao Li
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Kalyakina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria Kalyakina's form might have worsened.

Yuyao Li has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuyao Li's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Kalyakina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuyao Li than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuyao Li, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 761. Li is ranked WTA: 1452.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kalyakina might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Yu Chen Lin - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
23.07.25	Alicia Smith - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Anastasia Grechkina - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Maria Kalyakina - Yui Chikaraishi	2:0 ✺
26.06.25	Annabele Xu - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL
- Yuyao Li
ITF Tournaments
24.07.25	Eunhye Lee - Yuyao Li	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Yuyao Li - Arina Arifullina	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Feier Hu - Yuyao Li	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Yuyao Li - Sofya Lansere	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Yuyao Li - Liuyan An	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLW

Maria Kalyakina - Yuyao Li

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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