Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis (Brazil), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Kristina Mladenovic

	1	2
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.19	4.25
	1.18	4.3	Watch
	1.19	4.8
	1.2	4.62	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.18	4.51	Watch
	1.18	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.36)	4.39 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
78.6%

Kristina Mladenovic
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maria Lourdes Carle's performance.

Kristina Mladenovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kristina Mladenovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Lourdes Carle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristina Mladenovic than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kristina Mladenovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Kristina Mladenovic Predictions

Users Predictions: Maria Lourdes Carle will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 89. Mladenovic is ranked WTA: 213.

Carle is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mladenovic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carle is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
03.12.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Mariia Tkacheva	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Katarzyna Kawa - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
29.11.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Julia Riera	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Maria Lourdes Carle - Victoria Bosio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Kristina Mladenovic
ATP Challenger
02.12.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Emiliana Arango	2:1 ✺
28.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
26.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
20.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Darja Semenistaja	0:2 ✺
18.11.24	Kristina Mladenovic - Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

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