Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Maria Lourdes Carle		Mayar Sherif

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.39
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	2.12	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.22)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Lourdes Carle
37.2%

Mayar Sherif
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Lourdes Carle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Mayar Sherif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mayar Sherif than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Maria Lourdes Carle - Mayar Sherif Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Carle (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mayar Sherif will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mayar Sherif will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sherif (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Carle is ranked WTA: 128. Sherif is ranked WTA: 93.

Carle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sherif is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sherif may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sherif will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sherif will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Martina Colmegna - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Teodora Kostovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL
- Mayar Sherif
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Miriam Bianca Bulgaru - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Eva Vedder - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Mayar Sherif	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mayar Sherif - Simona Waltert	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.11.24	Mayar Sherif - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2
WTA Rabat
22.05.24	Mayar Sherif - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Mayar Sherif - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0
16.11.22	Mayar Sherif - Maria Lourdes Carle	Canceled

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