Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Martina Colmegna		Maria Lourdes Carle

	1	2
	6.5	1.1	Watch
	5.8	1.1	Watch
	8.17	1.11
	6.05	1.09	Watch
	6.99	1.1	Watch
	4.8	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.39 ↑ (4.49)	1.11 ↓ (1.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martina Colmegna
14.8%

Maria Lourdes Carle
85.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

79.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martina Colmegna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martina Colmegna's form might have worsened.

Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.

Martina Colmegna - Maria Lourdes Carle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Carle (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Colmegna is ranked WTA: 830. Carle is ranked WTA: 129.

In recent matches, Carle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carle is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colmegna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Colmegna
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Martina Colmegna - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Alice Tubello - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Martina Colmegna - Lavinia Tanasie	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Angela Fita Boluda - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Elena Korokozidi - Martina Colmegna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Maria Lourdes Carle
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Teodora Kostovic	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Barbora Palicova	2:0 ✺
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Yufei Ren - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
31.01.23	Maria Lourdes Carle - Martina Colmegna	0:2
ITF Tournaments
01.09.21	Martina Colmegna - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0

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