Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Charlottesville, VA, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Charlottesville 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Maria Mateas		Arina Rodionova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.17	1.64
	2.12	1.67
	2	1.73
	2.04	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Mateas
44.7%

Arina Rodionova
55.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Mateas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Arina Rodionova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arina Rodionova than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Maria Mateas - Arina Rodionova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mateas is ranked WTA: 236. Rodionova is ranked WTA: 169.

Two players are playing changeable.

Mateas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arina Rodionova - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Mateas
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Katherine Sebov - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Maria Mateas	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Jamie Loeb - Maria Mateas	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
31.03.25	Maria Mateas - Veronika Kudermetova	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Maria Mateas - Ella McDonald	Mateas M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLL?
- Arina Rodionova
ITF Tournaments
18.04.25	Arina Rodionova - Caty McNally	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Arina Rodionova - Zaire Clarke	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Arina Rodionova - Diletta Cherubini	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Arina Rodionova - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
29.03.25	Arina Rodionova - Caty McNally	Rodionova Ar. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWL?

Maria Mateas - Arina Rodionova

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Maria Mateas - Arina Rodionova Predictions

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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