Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Santo Domingo 2 (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday


	Maria Mateas		Ella McDonald

	1	2
	1.41	2.79	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.32)	2.71 ↓ (3.14)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Mateas
65.5%

Ella McDonald
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Mateas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Mateas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maria Mateas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ella McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Mateas is ranked WTA: 246. McDonald is ranked WTA: 389.

Recent matches Mateas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

McDonald is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mateas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mateas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Mateas
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Ana Sofia Sanchez - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Matilde Jorge - Maria Mateas	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Stacey Fung - Maria Mateas	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Amelia Rajecki - Maria Mateas	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Iva Jovic - Maria Mateas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
25.03.25	Anna Maria Fedotova - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Ariana Arseneault - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Ella McDonald - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Carolina Kuhl - Ella McDonald	Kuhl C. retired ✺
12.02.25	Ella McDonald - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLL?L

Maria Mateas - Ella McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide