Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bucharest 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	Maria Sara Popa		Jenny Duerst

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.63
	2.35	1.51	Watch
	2.16	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.31)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Sara Popa
42.8%

Jenny Duerst
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Sara Popa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sara Popa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maria Sara Popa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenny Duerst could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maria Sara Popa - Jenny Duerst Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maria Sara Popa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popa is ranked WTA: 592. Duerst is ranked WTA: 339.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Duerst may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Duerst might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Popa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Sara Popa
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Daria Lodikova - Maria Sara Popa	Lodikova D. retired ✺
05.09.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Maria Sara Popa	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Maria Sara Popa - Daria Lodikova	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Maria Sara Popa - Sapfo Sakellaridi	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Jenny Duerst - Maria Sara Popa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 ?LWWW
- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
09.09.25	Sapfo Sakellaridi - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Jenny Duerst - Maria Sara Popa	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Jenny Duerst - Gina Feistel	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Jenny Duerst - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Katie Swan - Jenny Duerst	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Jenny Duerst - Maria Sara Popa	1:2

Maria Sara Popa - Jenny Duerst: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide