Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Maria Timofeeva		Francesca Jones

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.18	1.76
	2.14	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.2)	1.67 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria Timofeeva
43.9%

Francesca Jones
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria Timofeeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Maria Timofeeva - Francesca Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Timofeeva will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jones will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Timofeeva is ranked WTA: 136. Jones is ranked WTA: 101.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Timofeeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Jones might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jones will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maria Timofeeva - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Francesca Jones - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria Timofeeva
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Maria Timofeeva - Adelina Lachinova	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Maria Timofeeva - Noma Akugue Noha	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Tessa Johanna Brockmann	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Lisa Pigato	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Carole Monnet - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Francesca Jones - Mia Pohankova	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Julia Grabher - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Maria Timofeeva - Francesca Jones: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide