Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Murska Sobota, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Mariam Bolkvadze		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	2.13	1.67	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	2.09	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)	1.79 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariam Bolkvadze
47.9%

Jessika Ponchet
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariam Bolkvadze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mariam Bolkvadze's form might have worsened.

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessika Ponchet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariam Bolkvadze than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mariam Bolkvadze - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bolkvadze will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ponchet will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bolkvadze is ranked WTA: 216. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 153.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Bolkvadze could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bolkvadze won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariam Bolkvadze
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Julia Avdeeva - Mariam Bolkvadze	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Lina Gjorcheska	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Arianne Hartono - Mariam Bolkvadze	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Mariam Bolkvadze - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson	Knutson G. retired ✺
27.03.25	Jessika Ponchet - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Jessika Ponchet - Urszula Radwanska	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
18.03.25	Gabriela Knutson - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.10.21	Mariam Bolkvadze - Jessika Ponchet	2:1
11.06.21	Mariam Bolkvadze - Jessika Ponchet	2:0

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