Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Mariano Navone		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.18	1.67
	2.01	1.69
	2.11	1.75
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.03	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
45.3%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Mariano Navone - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Meligeni will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
25.09.22	Nicolas Kicker - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
24.09.22	Facundo Bagnis - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
23.09.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
22.09.22	Mariano Navone - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	2:0 ✺
20.09.22	Mariano Navone - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.22	Nuno Borges - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	Canceled ✺
16.09.22	Joao Sousa - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.22	Lukas Klein - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:1 ✺
05.09.22	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LLW

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