Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTA CRUZ (BOLIVIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: SANTA CRUZ (BOLIVIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.51	2.71
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.53	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.62)	2.58 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
63.4%

Mariano Navone
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mariano Navone might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel Cerundolo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Navone will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Navone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerundolo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
15.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
12.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Ilya Ivashka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
15.09.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mariano Navone	Tirante T. A. retired ✺
14.09.23	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Matias Soto - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Lukas Klein - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.23	Mariano Navone - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?WWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.10.22	Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
23.09.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	0:2

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone