Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday


	Mariano Navone		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.62	1.55
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.88)	1.52 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
37.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Rune will win (votes: 12 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 47. Rune is ranked ATP: 12.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rune will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Navone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.25	Mariano Navone - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
31.01.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.25	Jack Draper - Mariano Navone	3:2 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Mariano Navone - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
26.04.24	Mariano Navone - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2

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