Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam (Netherlands), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.19	1.39
	2.99	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.08	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.56)	1.37 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
30.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Rune will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 35. Rune is ranked ATP: 12.

Sonego is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rune is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sonego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rune will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sonego won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Australian Open
21.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:3 ✺
16.01.25	Matteo Berrettini - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2
ATP Metz
22.09.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2

Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide