Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 MONASTIR 7 (TUNISIA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 15 February 2024, Thursday


	Mariano Tammaro		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.85	1.85
	1.81	1.93
	1.8	1.91
	1.75	1.98	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	1.9 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Tammaro
51.2%

Luca Castagnola
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Tammaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Tammaro's performance.

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Tammaro than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Tammaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Tammaro in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Castagnola is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tammaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Tammaro
ITF Tournaments
14.02.24	Mariano Tammaro - Giorgio Tabacco	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Mariano Tammaro - Alexander Cozbinov	Tammaro M. retired ✺
23.12.23	Mariano Tammaro - Perry Gregg	2:0 ✺
22.12.23	Maxence Bertimon - Mariano Tammaro	1:2 ✺
21.12.23	Mariano Tammaro - Cesar Bourgois	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 W?WWW
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
13.02.24	Luca Castagnola - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Alberto Barroso Campos - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Luca Castagnola - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
11.01.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
09.01.24	Luca Castagnola - Seungmin Park	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Mariano Tammaro - Luca Castagnola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide