Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Darmstadt, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Marie Vogt		Antonia Schmidt

	1	2
	2.7	1.4
	2.87	1.38
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.81	1.39	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.25)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marie Vogt
34.8%

Antonia Schmidt
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marie Vogt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marie Vogt's form might have worsened.

Antonia Schmidt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Antonia Schmidt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marie Vogt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Schmidt than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Antonia Schmidt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Vogt is ranked WTA: 539. Schmidt is ranked WTA: 449.

Vogt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Schmidt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vogt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schmidt might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marie Vogt
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Nina Vargova - Marie Vogt	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Marie Vogt - Aneta Kucmova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Marie Vogt - Noma Akugue Noha	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Radka Zelnickova - Marie Vogt	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Marie Vogt - Alexis Blokhina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWL
- Antonia Schmidt
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Ekaterina Maklakova - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Antonia Schmidt - Alevtina Ibragimova	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Antonia Schmidt	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Antonia Schmidt - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
27.05.25	Gabriela Ce - Antonia Schmidt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL

Marie Vogt - Antonia Schmidt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide