Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Le Neubourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday


	Mariella Thamm		Harmony Tan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
			Watch
	2.5	1.49
	1.71	2.00	Watch
	2.65	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (3.38)	1.61 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariella Thamm
41.1%

Harmony Tan
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariella Thamm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariella Thamm's performance.

Harmony Tan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harmony Tan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariella Thamm than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariella Thamm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harmony Tan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mariella Thamm - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Thamm is ranked WTA: 547. Tan is ranked WTA: 247.

Thamm is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Thamm may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tan is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariella Thamm
ITF Tournaments
25.07.25	Astrid Lew Yan Foon - Mariella Thamm	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Mariella Thamm - Julia Avdeeva	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Mariella Thamm - Chantal Sauvant	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Mariella Thamm - Irina Balus	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Eva Marie Voracek - Mariella Thamm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW
- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
06.09.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Harmony Tan	2:1 ✺
05.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Harmony Tan - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Harmony Tan - Lena Couto	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lola Radivojevic - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

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