Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Leiria, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Matilde Jorge		Harmony Tan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
			Watch
	2.24	1.62
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matilde Jorge
39.8%

Harmony Tan
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matilde Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Harmony Tan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harmony Tan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Matilde Jorge - Harmony Tan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jorge is ranked WTA: 213. Tan is ranked WTA: 272.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Tan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tan could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Tan will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Harmony Tan - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.39%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Matilde Jorge - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Mia Ristic - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Eva Maria Ionescu - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW
- Harmony Tan
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Harmony Tan - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Harmony Tan - Lena Couto	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lola Radivojevic - Harmony Tan	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Elza Tomase - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Polina Isakova - Harmony Tan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Matilde Jorge - Harmony Tan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide