Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Limoges, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday


	Marina Bassols Ribera		Manon Leonard

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.76	2.08	Watch
	1.64	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	2.08 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Bassols Ribera
54.9%

Manon Leonard
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Bassols Ribera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marina Bassols Ribera's performance.

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manon Leonard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marina Bassols Ribera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manon Leonard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Marina Bassols Ribera - Manon Leonard Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Leonard will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonard: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bassols Ribera (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Leonard (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 240. Leonard is ranked WTA: 194.

Bassols Ribera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leonard is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Bassols Ribera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Leonard will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
ATP Challenger
07.12.25	Veronika Podrez - Marina Bassols Ribera	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Shuai Zhang - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Tamila Gadamauri - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Marina Bassols Ribera - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Teodora Kostovic - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
19.10.25	Manon Leonard - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Manon Leonard - Alexandra Shubladze	Shubladze A. retired ✺
17.10.25	Manon Leonard - Oceane Dodin	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Manon Leonard - Marine Szostak	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Manon Leonard - Summer Yardley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 W?WWW

Marina Bassols Ribera - Manon Leonard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide