Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Marina Bassols Ribera		Paula Badosa

	1	2
			Watch
	3.60	1.26
	3.30	1.32	Watch
	3.70	1.31
	3.33	1.28	Watch
	3.65	1.28
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.30	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.95)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Bassols Ribera
27.1%

Paula Badosa
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marina Bassols Ribera - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Badosa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 144. Badosa is ranked WTA: 141.

Bassols Ribera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Badosa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Badosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Badosa is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Robin Montgomery	1:2 ✺
24.06.26	Xiyu Wang - Marina Bassols Ribera	Wang Xiy. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Lola Radivojevic - Marina Bassols Ribera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Marina Bassols Ribera - Darja Semenistaja	1:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.26	Mirra Andreeva - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 L?WLL
- Paula Badosa
WTA Wimbledon
30.06.26	Emma Navarro - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
20.06.26	Paula Badosa - Sinja Kraus	Canceled ✺
WTA Berlin
19.06.26	Linda Noskova - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
17.06.26	Paula Badosa - Cori Gauff	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Suzan Lamens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 L?LWW

Marina Bassols Ribera - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide