What is the expert prediction for Paula Badosa vs Cori Gauff?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Paula Badosa vs Cori Gauff. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Paula Badosa vs Cori Gauff Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, September 03, 2026)

Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Australia	9Gem
Austria	Laola1, Sky Sport Austria 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Laola1, Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Super Tennis
Peru	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports UHD, Sky Sports+


	Paula Badosa		Cori Gauff

	1	2
	6.00	1.13	Watch
	6.25	1.11
	6.25	1.12
	7.06	1.14
	6.42	1.12	Watch
	7.00	1.11
	5.65	1.15	Watch
	6.00	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.33 ↓ (6.75)	1.13 ↑ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paula Badosa
15.1%

Cori Gauff
84.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

86%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Badosa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gauff will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Badosa is ranked WTA: 87. Gauff is ranked WTA: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 3.

Badosa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gauff is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gauff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gauff is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Badosa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA US Open
02.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
24.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
23.07.26	Paula Badosa - Panna Udvardy	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
20.07.26	Mayar Sherif - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWW?
- Cori Gauff
WTA US Open
01.09.26	Zeynep Sonmez - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
23.08.26	Cori Gauff - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Cori Gauff - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Cori Gauff - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Berlin
17.06.26	Paula Badosa - Cori Gauff	2:1
WTA Australian Open
20.01.25	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Beijing
05.10.24	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	2:1
WTA Roma
13.05.24	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	2:1
WTA Madrid
29.04.23	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA San Jose
05.08.22	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Doha
23.02.22	Paula Badosa - Cori Gauff	0:2

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