Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Canberra 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Marina Stakusic		Darja Vidmanova

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Marina Stakusic
52.6%

Darja Vidmanova
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Stakusic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marina Stakusic's performance.

Darja Vidmanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darja Vidmanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Users Predictions: Marina Stakusic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marina Stakusic will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Stakusic is ranked WTA: 130. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 149.

Stakusic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Stakusic
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Iva Jovic - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Mary Lewis	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Caroline Dolehide - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWWW
- Darja Vidmanova
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ekaterina Khayrutdinova - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Kayla Day - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Olivia Lincer - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Marina Stakusic - Darja Vidmanova