Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Marina Stakusic		Emiliana Arango

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.48	1.59
	4.99	1.15	Watch
	2.4	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.29)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marina Stakusic
32.1%

Emiliana Arango
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marina Stakusic's form might have worsened.

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emiliana Arango's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Stakusic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emiliana Arango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arango (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Arango (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arango (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stakusic is ranked WTA: 155. Arango is ranked WTA: 86.

Now, both players are in good form.

Arango may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arango is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Arango will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stakusic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marina Stakusic
WTA Guadalajara
12.09.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Marina Stakusic	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Marina Stakusic - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Marina Stakusic - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Elena Pridankina - Marina Stakusic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWWL
- Emiliana Arango
WTA Guadalajara
11.09.25	Storm Hunter - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Emiliana Arango - Magda Linette	Linette M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Kayla Day - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Elena Pridankina - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
02.09.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
05.05.25	Emiliana Arango - Marina Stakusic	2:0
ATP Challenger
12.02.25	Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango	0:2

Marina Stakusic - Emiliana Arango: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide