Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Marina Stakusic

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6
	1.25	3.9	Watch
	1.3	3.87
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.28	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
74.6%

Marina Stakusic
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Marina Stakusic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Stakusic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Stakusic will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Stakusic (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 20.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Stakusic is ranked WTA: 155.

Ostapenko is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stakusic has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stakusic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostapenko is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Taylor Townsend	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Jelena Ostapenko	Ostapenko J. walkover ✺
WTA Montreal
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWL?L
- Marina Stakusic
WTA Guadalajara
09.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Marina Stakusic	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Marina Stakusic - Iryna Shymanovich	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Marina Stakusic - Amandine Hesse	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Elena Pridankina - Marina Stakusic	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Marina Stakusic - Hanne Van De Winkel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Guadalajara
12.09.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic	1:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Marina Stakusic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide