Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Marine Szostak		Federica Urgesi

	1	2
			Watch
	3.1	1.3
			Watch
	3.29	1.3
	2.70	1.40	Watch
	3.04	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.69)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marine Szostak
30.6%

Federica Urgesi
69.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marine Szostak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine Szostak than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Marine Szostak - Federica Urgesi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Szostak is ranked WTA: 677. Urgesi is ranked WTA: 395.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Urgesi could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marine Szostak
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Marine Szostak - Tian Jialin	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Marine Szostak - Martina Lo Pumo	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Adithya Karunaratne - Marine Szostak	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Carla Grignac - Marine Szostak	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Ophelie Boullay - Marine Szostak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL
- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Jenny Duerst - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Federica Urgesi - Noemi Basiletti	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Valentini Grammatikopoulou - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

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