Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Cordenons, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Federica Urgesi		Noemi Basiletti

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.44
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.69	1.42	Watch
	2.24	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.83)	1.46 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
36.3%

Noemi Basiletti
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federica Urgesi's form might have worsened.

Noemi Basiletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noemi Basiletti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noemi Basiletti than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noemi Basiletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federica Urgesi - Noemi Basiletti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Basiletti (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basiletti (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 432. Basiletti is ranked WTA: 663.

Urgesi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basiletti is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Basiletti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Basiletti will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Urgesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Valentini Grammatikopoulou - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	Gabriela Ce - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Noemi Basiletti
ITF Tournaments
30.07.25	Teodora Kostovic - Noemi Basiletti	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Noemi Basiletti - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Noemi Basiletti - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Noemi Basiletti - Sara Cakarevic	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Noemi Basiletti - Sofia Rocchetti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.10.24	Federica Urgesi - Noemi Basiletti	2:1

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