Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Mark Lajal		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.52	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.67)	1.55 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
38.9%

Hubert Hurkacz
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mark Lajal - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Lajal will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Lajal (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Hurkacz (votes: 9 - 69.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajal is ranked ATP: 195. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 32.

Lajal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hurkacz has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hurkacz could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.12%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Laslo Djere - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
09.06.25	Reilly Opelka - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Corentin Denolly - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Henry Searle - Mark Lajal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWLW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
27.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
24.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	2:0 ✺
22.05.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWW

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