Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: FAIRFIELD (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday


	Mark Lajal		Tennys Sandgren

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.45
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.29	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.02)	2.32 ↑ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mark Lajal
59.7%

Tennys Sandgren
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mark Lajal's performance.

Tennys Sandgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tennys Sandgren might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mark Lajal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tennys Sandgren than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tennys Sandgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Mark Lajal - Tennys Sandgren Predictions

Users Predictions: Mark Lajal will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Lajal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Alfredo Perez - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
27.09.23	Mark Lajal - Abedallah Shelbayh	1:2 ✺
21.09.23	Mark Lajal - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Mark Lajal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Tennys Sandgren
ATP Challenger
04.10.23	Tennys Sandgren - Nishesh Basavareddy	Sandgren T. retired ✺
03.10.23	Tennys Sandgren - Cannon Kingsley	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Tennys Sandgren - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Tennys Sandgren - Ryan Peniston	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Tennys Sandgren - Illya Marchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WLLW

Mark Lajal - Tennys Sandgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide