Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Final

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday


	Bernard Tomic		Mark Lajal

	1	2
	2.55	1.45
	2.5	1.47
	2.61	1.54
	2.57	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.52
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.31)	1.48 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
36.6%

Mark Lajal
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Mark Lajal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 206. Lajal is ranked ATP: 159.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Lajal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lajal could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.86%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Spencer Johnson	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
18.07.26	Mark Lajal - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Mark Lajal - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Mark Lajal - Mitchell Krueger	Krueger M. Retired ✺
14.07.26	Mark Lajal - Trevor Svajda	2:1 ✺
09.07.26	Jacob Fearnley - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WW?WL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:1
05.10.23	Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal	2:0

Bernard Tomic - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide