Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Marlon Vankan		Kirill Kivattsev

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.39	2.69	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
53.4%

Kirill Kivattsev
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Kirill Kivattsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marlon Vankan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kirill Kivattsev than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kirill Kivattsev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marlon Vankan - Kirill Kivattsev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 740. Kivattsev is ranked ATP: 583.

Vankan has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kivattsev is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vankan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marlon Vankan - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Kirill Kivattsev - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
10.02.26	Jack Loge - Marlon Vankan	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Marlon Vankan - Dimitris Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Marlon Vankan - Lorenzo Sciahbasi	Sciahbasi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWW?
- Kirill Kivattsev
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Samir Hamza Reguig	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Kirill Kivattsev - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Luke Hooper - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Billy Suarez - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Martyn Pawelski - Kirill Kivattsev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

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