Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Marlon Vankan		Younes Lalami Laaroussi

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.59	2.25
	1.51	2.32	Watch
	1.54	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)	2.31 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marlon Vankan
59.9%

Younes Lalami Laaroussi
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marlon Vankan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marlon Vankan's form might have worsened.

Younes Lalami Laaroussi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Younes Lalami Laaroussi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marlon Vankan than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marlon Vankan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Younes Lalami Laaroussi than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Younes Lalami Laaroussi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Marlon Vankan - Younes Lalami Laaroussi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lalami Laaroussi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vankan is ranked ATP: 823. Lalami Laaroussi is ranked ATP: 973.

In recent matches, Vankan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lalami Laaroussi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lalami Laaroussi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vankan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marlon Vankan
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Marlon Vankan - Maik Steiner	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Claude Ishimwe - Marlon Vankan	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Felix Gill - Marlon Vankan	Vankan M. retired ✺
18.09.25	Marlon Vankan - Giuseppe La Vela	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Simeon Stankovic - Marlon Vankan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LW?WW
- Younes Lalami Laaroussi
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Dinko Dinev	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Roman Kharlamov - Younes Lalami Laaroussi	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Hugo Maia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

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