Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Marta Kostyuk		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
58.2%

Darya Kasatkina
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darya Kasatkina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 28. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 18.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1.

Kostyuk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kasatkina has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kostyuk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kostyuk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova	2:1 ✺
WTA Washington
22.07.25	Marta Kostyuk - Emma Raducanu	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Veronika Erjavec - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
WTA Bad Homburg
22.06.25	Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
WTA Berlin
16.06.25	Marta Kostyuk - Emma Navarro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLL
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Anna Blinkova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:1 ✺
01.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.25	Darya Kasatkina - Lulu Sun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
09.05.25	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:0
WTA Berlin
17.06.24	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	1:2
WTA Dubai
19.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled
WTA Brisbane
02.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	0:2
WTA Tokyo
26.09.23	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	2:1
WTA Birmingham
17.06.21	Darya Kasatkina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Istanbul
21.04.21	Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina	2:0

Marta Kostyuk - Darya Kasatkina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide