Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Strasbourg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Strasbourg 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Darya Kasatkina		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.95	1.98
	1.83	1.93	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.82)	1.99 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
52%

Ludmilla Samsonova
48%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 66. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 21.

Kasatkina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kasatkina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kasatkina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Strasbourg
17.05.26	Anastasia Zakharova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Valentina Steiner - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
06.05.26	Caty McNally - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Darya Kasatkina - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Linda Noskova - Ludmilla Samsonova	Noskova L. Walkover ✺
24.04.26	Janice Tjen - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LW?WL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
05.07.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2

Darya Kasatkina - Ludmilla Samsonova