Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Marta Kostyuk		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.36	3.20	Watch
	1.36	3.20
	1.38	3.05
	1.40	3.30
	1.39	3.11	Watch
	1.43	2.95
	1.39	3.05	Watch
	1.40	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.55)	3.1 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
69.1%

Jasmine Paolini
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 14 - 48.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Paolini (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (2.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 13. Paolini is ranked WTA: 17.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, Kostyuk is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Marta Kostyuk - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 61.25%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.26	Ashlyn Krueger - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Emma Navarro - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Anna Blinkova - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Nadia Podoroska - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
WTA London
09.06.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Marta Kostyuk	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWW?
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Alexandra Eala	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Jasmine Paolini - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Robin Montgomery	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
23.06.26	Jasmine Paolini - Tatjana Maria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
14.08.23	Jasmine Paolini - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Cluj Napoca
10.10.22	Jasmine Paolini - Marta Kostyuk	2:1
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.22	Jasmine Paolini - Marta Kostyuk	0:2

Marta Kostyuk - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide