Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 28, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Marta Soriano Santiago		Anastasia Bertacchi

	1	2
	1.72	2.00
	1.6	2.17	Watch
	1.59	2.25
	1.64	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.83)	2.13 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Soriano Santiago
56.5%

Anastasia Bertacchi
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Soriano Santiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Soriano Santiago's performance.

Anastasia Bertacchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anastasia Bertacchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Soriano Santiago than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Soriano Santiago that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasia Bertacchi than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anastasia Bertacchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marta Soriano Santiago - Anastasia Bertacchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soriano Santiago is ranked WTA: 739., and Bertacchi is ranked WTA: 765..

Soriano Santiago has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bertacchi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Soriano Santiago could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Marta Soriano Santiago - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Soriano Santiago
ITF Tournaments
11.09.26	Sarah Iliev - Marta Soriano Santiago	Soriano Santiago M. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Diana Marcinkevica - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ninon Carpentier - Marta Soriano Santiago	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Victoria Pohle - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Jahnie Van Zyl - Marta Soriano Santiago	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WWWL
- Anastasia Bertacchi
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Ellie Daniels - Anastasia Bertacchi	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Klara Blazkova - Anastasia Bertacchi	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Anastasia Bertacchi - Tiphanie Lemaitre	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Anastasia Bertacchi - Mara Guth	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Anastasia Bertacchi - Ustiniya Lekomtseva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

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