Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Martin Damm		Ajeet Rai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.2	Watch
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.28	3.59
	1.27	3.52	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.28	3.47	Watch
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)	3.4 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
72.6%

Ajeet Rai
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Damm's performance.

Ajeet Rai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajeet Rai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Damm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajeet Rai than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajeet Rai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martin Damm - Ajeet Rai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 740. Rai is ranked ATP: 477.

Damm is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Damm will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Mukund Sasikumar - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.05.25	Ryan Peniston - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Erik Arutiunian - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
16.05.25	Martin Damm - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Martin Damm - Aleksandre Bakshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Ajeet Rai
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Ajeet Rai	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Filip Peliwo - Ajeet Rai	Rai A. retired ✺
27.04.25	Christian Langmo - Ajeet Rai	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Zijiang Yang - Ajeet Rai	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Viktor Durasovic - Ajeet Rai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 W?LWL

Martin Damm - Ajeet Rai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide