Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 2 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Martin Damm		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.92	1.92
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	2	Watch
	1.78	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.37)	1.93 ↓ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
51.6%

Alejandro Moro Canas
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martin Damm's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Martin Damm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Martin Damm - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moro Canas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are in bad shape now.

Damm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
21.02.24	Daniel Michalski - Martin Damm	0:2
20.02.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
13.02.24	Martin Damm - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
05.02.24	Maxime Cressy - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Martin Damm - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 W?LLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
04.02.24	David Goffin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.01.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
22.01.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Altug Celikbilek	1:2 ✺
17.01.24	Brandon Nakashima - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

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