Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Kigali, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Martin Van Der Meerschen		Rodrigo Alujas

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.48	2.58
	1.02	8.61	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.69)	4.61 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Martin Van Der Meerschen
77.8%

Rodrigo Alujas
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Van Der Meerschen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martin Van Der Meerschen's performance.

Rodrigo Alujas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodrigo Alujas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Van Der Meerschen than the current prediction. (-22.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Van Der Meerschen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Alujas than the current prediction. (+22.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodrigo Alujas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martin Van Der Meerschen - Rodrigo Alujas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Van Der Meerschen is ranked ATP: 843. Alujas is ranked ATP: 778.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Van Der Meerschen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Van Der Meerschen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Van Der Meerschen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Van Der Meerschen
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Maximilian Neuchrist - Martin Van Der Meerschen	Neuchrist M. retired ✺
08.10.25	Jordi Garcia Mestre - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Kirill Kivattsev	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Maximilian Homberg - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nik Mikovic - Martin Van Der Meerschen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 ?WLWW
- Rodrigo Alujas
ITF Tournaments
08.10.25	Darrshan Suresh - Rodrigo Alujas	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Filip Gustafsson - Rodrigo Alujas	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Herman Hoeyeraal - Rodrigo Alujas	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Rodrigo Alujas - Louis Herman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.08.25	Martin Van Der Meerschen - Rodrigo Alujas	1:2

Martin Van Der Meerschen - Rodrigo Alujas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide