Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Lujan, clay - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lujan 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Martina Capurro Taborda		Maria Florencia Urrutia

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Martina Capurro Taborda
50.8%

Maria Florencia Urrutia
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martina Capurro Taborda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Maria Florencia Urrutia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martina Capurro Taborda than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Florencia Urrutia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Capurro Taborda is ranked WTA: 554. Urrutia is ranked WTA: 542.

Capurro Taborda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Urrutia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Urrutia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Capurro Taborda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Capurro Taborda
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Luna Maria Cinalli - Martina Capurro Taborda	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Martina Capurro Taborda	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Luciana Moyano - Martina Capurro Taborda	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Martina Capurro Taborda - Hibah Shaikh	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Martina Capurro Taborda - Beatrice Stagno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Maria Florencia Urrutia
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Fernanda Labrana	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Mia Celeste Brayotta	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Lourdes Ayala	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Yuliana Lizarazo	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Adrienn Nagy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLL

ITF Tournaments
10.07.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:1
15.01.25	Maria Florencia Urrutia - Martina Capurro Taborda	2:1

Martina Capurro Taborda - Maria Florencia Urrutia