Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Heraklion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Martyna Kubka		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.41	2.65
	1.38	2.87
	1.35	2.90	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.77	Watch
	1.59	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	2.71 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martyna Kubka
65.7%

Haruka Kaji
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martyna Kubka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Martyna Kubka's performance.

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haruka Kaji might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martyna Kubka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Martyna Kubka - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubka is ranked WTA: 368. Kaji is ranked WTA: 278.

Recent performances by Kubka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kaji is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kaji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kubka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kubka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martyna Kubka
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Harmony Tan - Martyna Kubka	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Amelia Rajecki - Martyna Kubka	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Esther Adeshina - Martyna Kubka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Sofia Costoulas - Martyna Kubka	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.25	Martyna Kubka - Anastasia Gasanova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Haruka Kaji - Eva Maria Ionescu	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Haruka Kaji - Yu Yun Li	Li Y. retired ✺
22.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Gabriela Knutson	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Vendula Valdmannova	0:2 ✺
09.07.25	Haruka Kaji - Misaki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L?LLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.08.24	Martyna Kubka - Haruka Kaji	0:2

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