Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Warsaw, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Martyna Kubka		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.40
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.41
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	2.34 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martyna Kubka
60.1%

Mona Barthel
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martyna Kubka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martyna Kubka's form might have worsened.

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mona Barthel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martyna Kubka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Martyna Kubka - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kubka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barthel will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Barthel (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubka is ranked WTA: 192. Barthel is ranked WTA: 221.

Kubka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barthel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barthel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kubka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kubka will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mona Barthel - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.9%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martyna Kubka
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Teodora Kostovic - Martyna Kubka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Justina Mikulskyte	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Kira Pavlova	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Chloe Noel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Laura Samsonova - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Francesca Pace - Mona Barthel	Pace F. Walkover ✺
28.07.26	Tamila Gadamauri - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
21.07.26	Mona Barthel - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Eva Vedder - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?WLW

Martyna Kubka - Mona Barthel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide