Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Warsaw, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Warsaw 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Martyna Kubka		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.40
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.61	2.41
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.4)	2.34 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martyna Kubka
60.1%

Mona Barthel
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martyna Kubka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martyna Kubka's form might have worsened.

Mona Barthel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mona Barthel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martyna Kubka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Martyna Kubka - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kubka will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Barthel will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Barthel (1.71) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Barthel (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubka is ranked WTA: 192. Barthel is ranked WTA: 221.

Kubka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barthel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barthel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kubka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kubka will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martyna Kubka
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Teodora Kostovic - Martyna Kubka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Justina Mikulskyte	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Kira Pavlova	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Han Shi	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Martyna Kubka - Chloe Noel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Mona Barthel
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Laura Samsonova - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Francesca Pace - Mona Barthel	Pace F. Walkover ✺
28.07.26	Tamila Gadamauri - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
21.07.26	Mona Barthel - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Eva Vedder - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 W?WLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martyna Kubka
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Martyna Kubka - Lisa Pigato	✺
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Laura Hietaranta - Mona Barthel	✺

Martyna Kubka - Mona Barthel