Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Warsaw, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday


	Laura Samsonova		Mona Barthel

	1	2
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.80
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.43	3.01
	1.42	2.69	Watch
	1.41	2.85
	1.43	2.62	Watch
	1.41	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	2.77 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Samsonova
66.2%

Mona Barthel
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laura Samsonova's performance.

Mona Barthel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mona Barthel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laura Samsonova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mona Barthel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Laura Samsonova - Mona Barthel Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 153. Barthel is ranked WTA: 215.

Samsonova has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Barthel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barthel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Samsonova could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Samsonova will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samsonova won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Mia Ristic	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. Retired ✺
28.07.26	Laura Samsonova - Alesia Breaz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWW?W
- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
30.07.26	Francesca Pace - Mona Barthel	Pace F. Walkover ✺
28.07.26	Tamila Gadamauri - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
WTA Hamburg
21.07.26	Mona Barthel - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Eva Vedder - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
19.07.26	Ekaterina Yashina - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Mona Barthel - Laura Samsonova	2:0

Laura Samsonova - Mona Barthel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide