Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Toulouse-Balma (France), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Marvin Moeller		Axel Garcian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.4
	1.26	3.64	Watch
	1.22	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)	3.65 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
74.5%

Axel Garcian
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marvin Moeller's performance.

Axel Garcian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Axel Garcian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marvin Moeller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Axel Garcian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marvin Moeller - Axel Garcian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 480. Garcian is ranked ATP: 695.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Garcian could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Moeller is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Moeller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Oleg Prihodko - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Raphael Perot - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Leo Deflandre - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Ben Jones - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Christian Sigsgaard - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- Axel Garcian
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Axel Garcian - Evan Jarzaguet	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Egor Gerasimov - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.02.25	Oliver Bonding - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Hamish Stewart - Axel Garcian	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Axel Garcian - Lucas Bouquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.10.23	Marvin Moeller - Axel Garcian	2:0

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