Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Trento (Italy), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Marvin Moeller		David Poljak

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.74
	1.25	3.68	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.25	3.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	3.76 ↑ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
75.2%

David Poljak
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

David Poljak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Poljak than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Marvin Moeller - David Poljak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 531. Poljak is ranked ATP: 1088.

Moeller is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Poljak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moeller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Moeller is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moeller won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Marvin Moeller - Tymur Bieldiugin	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Marvin Moeller - Peter Fajta	2:0 ✺
14.02.25	Marvin Moeller - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- David Poljak
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	David Poljak - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Federico Salomone - David Poljak	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	David Poljak - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	David Poljak - Jeremy Schifris	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Toby Samuel - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.02.24	Marvin Moeller - David Poljak	2:0
ITF Tournaments
21.11.21	David Poljak - Marvin Moeller	2:0

Marvin Moeller - David Poljak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide